12/04/20 Bulletin Number One CoVid19 Emergency Update 3
Over 10,000 death in the UK
In a week that was - the Chief Medical Officer of Scotland resigned and the Prime Minister won the battle against CoVid19 after being in intensive care for 3 days in hospital with a dedicated team of nurses I note they did not use a ventilator and you will see below why this is no longer advised for this disease according to a New York doctor. The Prime Minister made a heart felt thank you all the staff who watched over him in the London Hospital.
New figures released mid afternoon on Saturday 12 April 2020 shocked many who had hoped the UK Government could succeed in stopping the growth of the CoVid19 virus in the population. Figures released that Britain could be on the brink of a serious health emergency with 10,612 deaths reported, in the country. Observers including the World Health Organisation warm that this may not reflect the true extent of the numbers infected with the virus, in that it is more likely the figure would be 3 times that due to the way the virus spreads in blocks of 30 percent growth per day. In any one week the virus can spread up to 90 percent from the first day of the week's figure, meaning that in reality by the end of this week Britain could be facing deaths of up to 20,000 by next weekend if it does not succeed in breaking the cycle of severe and rapid transmission of the disease.
You can see the worldometer figures by clicking the word here
In Scotland, which has had 495 plua 24 (overnight) deaths reported today, there is a better chance of stopping the growth of the deadly virus by isolating the rest of the community from those pools of people who have contracted the disease. However concerns have been expressed about the fact that over 24 people died over night this weekend and this in fact indicates that Scotland may loose the battle with the virus. In it's current growth pattern CoVid19 could increase in Scotland in one week to as much as 3 times the stated figure of today meaning that within 3 days the figure could rise to 660 with a full measure of this growth being 1220 in 6 to 7 days. While Scotland may have a window of opportunity to stop the flow of deaths it is not clear that the authorities NHS and Government have the 'where, with, all' to effectively stamp out the growth factors of the virus in the NHS or the wider community. So far to date the Scottish government has succeeded to keep the growth rate down to the advised rate of 30% which seems part of the way the virus morphs in communities. In London the growth rate has slowed to under 30 percent indicating that lock down measures are beginning to slow the growth of the virus although this remains to be seen over the next week if these figures will hold in either England, Scotland or Wales. With over 10,000 deaths since the beginning of April the virus seems not to be halting and in fact is spreading like wildfire.
In Scotland measures for the vulnerable who require to be shielded from the virus have been criticised because it has only deemed that around 200,000 people in a population of over 5 million will require food boxes and special assistance in their new scheme announced on a week last Thursday to assist those who can't get out to shop or leave their homes. It is believed that many people with chronic diseases will fall through the cracks in this provision which is being given to only less than 15% of the vulnerable people in Scotland, whose chronic illnesses could jeopardise normal and fair living standards during the CoVid Crisis.
Care of the sick and how to treat them has put New York in crisis with the appearance of mass graves, at a time when ventilators have in fact often killed victims when applied at the wrong stage.
At time of writing new information was brought to me about the New York Doctor Cameron Kyle Sidell's very important opinion that treatment protocol should be oxygen not ventilators. You can see his impassioned plea from his job as a saver of lives on the lung units of New York #CoVid19 at the link on the word here
Sadly warnings from human rights advocates about the way dead bodies have been disposed in mass graves remains a cause for concern.
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